Election Day is approximately 14 months away, but pollsters are already mapping out how the general election may play out.
A new survey from the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll obtained by The Hill finds former President Donald Trump leading current President Joe Biden by four percentage points in a general election. Additionally, the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll-led survey finds Joe Biden trailing Nikki Haley by two percentage points and Tim Scott by two percentage points in a general election. Conversely, the survey shows Biden leading potential Republican candidates like Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy.
The results from the most recent Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll-led survey do not differ much from a similar Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll conducted in July. Two months ago, the survey found Trump leading by five percentage points.
“No question that President Joe Biden is showing lagging national poll numbers and that now multiple GOP candidates are ahead of him,” Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll Co-Director Mark Penn told The Hill.
“This is a new development as [non-Trump] potential opponents like Haley get exposure.”
The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll is one of many surveys looking to predict the results of the 2024 Presidential Election. At the moment, President Joe Biden leads the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, in recent Ramussen Reports and Quinnipiac University polls. Meanwhile, Trump leads Biden in recent YouGov, HarrisX/Harris Poll and Beacon Research Polls. Standing in the middle, the latest Ipsos Poll from Reuters has the two candidates even.
