The Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas has released its over/unders for each NBA team’s win totals for the upcoming season (h/t CBSSports):
Eastern Conference
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 56.5
- Boston Celtics: 51.5
- Toronto Raptors: 49.5
- Detroit Pistons: 45.5
- Atlanta Hawks: 43.5
- Indiana Pacers: 43.5
- Washington Wizards: 42.5
- Charlotte Hornets: 39.5
- Milwaukee Bucks: 39.5
- Chicago Bulls: 38.5
- New York Knicks: 38.5
- Miami Heat: 36.5
- Orlando Magic: 36.5
- Philadelphia 76ers: 27.5
- Brooklyn Nets: 20.5
Western Conference
- Golden State Warriors: 66.5
- San Antonio Spurs: 56.6
- Los Angeles Clippers: 53.5
- Utah Jazz: 47.5
- Portland Trail Blazers: 46.5
- Oklahoma City Thunder: 45.5
- Memphis Grizzlies: 43.5
- Houston Rockets: 41.5
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 41.5
- Dallas Mavericks: 39.5
- New Orleans Pelicans: 36.5
- Denver Nuggets: 34.5
- Sacramento: 32.5
- Phoenix Suns: 26.5
- Los Angeles Lakers: 24.5
Some teams that I like the over on:
- Houston Rockets (41.5): James Harden sounds very enthusiastic about the Rockets this season, which is enough to convince me. If Harden puts in effort on the defensive end, look out for the Rockets to do much better than 41 wins; they won 56 games in 2014-15.
- Golden State Warriors (66.5): The Warriors at “only” 66.5 wins seems like a safe bet, even though they’re sure to take their foot off the gas during the regular season.
- Memphis Grizzlies (43.5): The Grizzlies are better than a 43-win team when healthy (56 wins in 2012-13, 50 wins in 2013-14, 55 wins in 2014-15). Unless Marc Gasol or Mike Conley gets injured, this is nearly a sure thing.
- Atlanta Hawks (43.5): Despite losing Jeff Teague and Al Horford, I expect the Hawks to win more than 43 games. Dwight Howard and Paul Millsap will be terrifying as a shot-blocking duo down low. They still have Kyle Korver and Kent Bazemore, and the hope for Atlanta fans is that Dennis Schröder is ready to take a big step forward.
It’s tougher to find teams to take the under on than the over, but Portland (46.5) comes to mind for me. The Trail Blazers won 44 games last season, and it felt like they overachieved. I could be wrong, but I would be highly surprised if they won 47 games.
